Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Estelle Public Advisory


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 180238
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Estelle Advisory Number  11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062022
900 PM MDT Sun Jul 17 2022

...ESTELLE A BIT WEAKER, BUT STILL EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY...


SUMMARY OF 900 PM MDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 108.6W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM SE OF SOCORRO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 PM MDT (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Estelle was
located near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 108.6 West. Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected 
through the week.  

Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is still forecast over the next day or 
so.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Estelle are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast
of west-central Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula
tonight through Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 AM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Papin



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