Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Estelle Public Advisory


000
WTPZ31 KNHC 171435
TCPEP1

BULLETIN
Hurricane Estelle Advisory Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP062022
900 AM MDT Sun Jul 17 2022

...ESTELLE EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY
OR SO...


SUMMARY OF 900 AM MDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.7N 107.1W
ABOUT 295 MI...470 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM MDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Estelle was
located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 107.1 West.  Estelle is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this
motion with some increase in forward speed is expected through 
Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Steady to rapid strengthening is expected, and Estelle
could become a major hurricane on Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles
(110 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 984 mb (29.06 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF:  Swells generated by Estelle are affecting portions of the
southwestern coast of Mexico and will spread northward to the coast
of west-central Mexico and the southern Baja California peninsula
later today and Monday. These swells are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.  Please consult
products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 300 PM MDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch/Bucci



Source link