209 WTPZ21 KNHC 172033 TCMEP1 HURRICANE ESTELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062022 2100 UTC SUN JUL 17 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 107.9W AT 17/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 90 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 75SE 60SW 105NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 107.9W AT 17/2100Z AT 17/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N 107.4W FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 16.7N 109.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 17.3N 111.8W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.7N 114.1W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.3N 116.5W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.2N 118.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.3N 121.2W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 80SE 60SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 21.9N 125.2W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 22.8N 128.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N 107.9W NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0300Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI