Atlantic Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Earl Wind Speed Probabilities



470 
FONT11 KNHC 070255
PWSAT1

HURRICANE EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022               
0300 UTC WED SEP 07 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.8
NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                               

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   8(20)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)

BERMUDA        34  X   1( 1)  14(15)  45(60)   9(69)   X(69)   X(69)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  25(26)   9(35)   X(35)   X(35)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   8(18)   X(18)   X(18)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH                                              




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