Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Earl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 100239
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
0300 UTC SAT SEP 10 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  55.9W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  25 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  50 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  70SE  40SW  30NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT.......200NE 240SE 200SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 400SE 360SW 480NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  55.9W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.1N  56.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 41.2N  53.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  80NW.
34 KT...240NE 280SE 240SW 230NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.1N  51.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...280NE 320SE 280SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 43.8N  50.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...290NE 255SE 270SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 44.2N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 250SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 44.5N  48.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 44.7N  46.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 110SE 170SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 45.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 46.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N  55.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI




Source link