Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Earl Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT21 KNHC 092042
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062022
2100 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  58.7W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  70SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT.......100NE 120SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT.......200NE 240SE 200SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 390SE 300SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  58.7W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N  59.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 39.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  70SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...250NE 300SE 250SW 250NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 42.3N  53.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 100NW.
34 KT...280NE 320SE 280SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 43.4N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...290NE 255SE 270SW 280NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 43.8N  51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 250SW 270NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 44.4N  50.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 200SW 200NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 44.7N  48.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE 110SE 170SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 45.1N  44.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 46.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.9N  58.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY




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