000
FOPA11 PHFO 141434
PWSCP1
HURRICANE DARBY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052022
1500 UTC THU JUL 14 2022
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DARBY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 145W 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
15N 150W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
20N 150W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 151W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 20(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27)
BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BIRCHARD
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