Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Darby Forecast Advisory


674 
WTPZ25 KNHC 110236
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
0300 UTC MON JUL 11 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.6W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 120.6W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 119.9W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 14.7N 122.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.9N 125.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 15.1N 127.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.4N 130.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 16.0N 132.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 16.7N 135.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0000Z 18.0N 140.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 18.5N 145.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 120.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER REINHART





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