Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Darby Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 120841
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
0900 UTC TUE JUL 12 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 128.1W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 265 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  954 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 128.1W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 127.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.8N 130.0W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.0N 132.6W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.5N 135.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.2N 137.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.8N 140.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.2N 142.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 17.3N 148.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 17.0N 155.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.7N 128.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI




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