Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Darby Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 111448
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
1500 UTC MON JUL 11 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.4W AT 11/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 123.4W AT 11/1500Z
AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 122.8W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 14.7N 125.6W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 14.8N 128.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 15.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 15.4N 133.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.9N 135.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.7N 138.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 17.5N 143.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 17.3N 149.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 123.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PAPIN




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