Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Darby Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ25 KNHC 131433
TCMEP5

HURRICANE DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052022
1500 UTC WED JUL 13 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 135.4W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  75SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 135.4W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 134.7W

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 15.4N 137.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 16.4N 142.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 16.6N 145.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 16.6N 148.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.3N 151.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 135.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY




Source link