Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Danielle Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 050840
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052022
0900 UTC MON SEP 05 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  44.4W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.6N  44.4W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.3N  44.6W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 40.5N  43.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.4N  42.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 42.1N  40.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 42.8N  38.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 43.8N  35.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 45.3N  32.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 48.2N  26.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 50.8N  20.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.6N  44.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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