Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Danielle Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 042031
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052022
2100 UTC SUN SEP 04 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  45.1W AT 04/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 180SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.5N  45.1W AT 04/2100Z
AT 04/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.3N  45.2W

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 39.1N  44.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 40.2N  43.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 41.2N  42.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 42.1N  40.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 42.9N  37.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 44.0N  34.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 45.9N  27.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 47.0N  19.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.5N  45.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI/CANGIALOSI




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