Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Danielle Forecast Advisory


000
WTNT25 KNHC 040234
TCMAT5

HURRICANE DANIELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052022
0300 UTC SUN SEP 04 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  45.1W AT 04/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   2 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 38.1N  45.1W AT 04/0300Z
AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N  45.0W

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 38.2N  45.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 38.7N  45.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 39.5N  44.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 40.4N  43.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 41.4N  42.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 42.4N  40.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 44.5N  35.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 46.1N  28.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 38.1N  45.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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