Pacific Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Carlotta Forecast Advisory

Published Date and Time: 2024-08-02 22:47:17



622 
WTPZ23 KNHC 030246
TCMEP3

HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032024
0300 UTC SAT AUG 03 2024

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.9W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..135NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 117.9W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.7N 117.3W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 19.0N 119.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 19.3N 121.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 19.8N 123.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 20.3N 125.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 20.8N 127.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.2N 129.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N 132.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.2N 135.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 117.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BUCCI





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