Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Bonnie Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ24 KNHC 050840
TCMEP4

HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
0900 UTC TUE JUL 05 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.2W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  45SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 103.2W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 102.5W

FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 15.5N 105.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 15.9N 107.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 16.2N 109.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 16.5N 111.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 17.1N 114.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.8N 117.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 19.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 20.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 103.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN




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