Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Bonnie Forecast Advisory


951 
WTPZ24 KNHC 050242
TCMEP4

HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
0300 UTC TUE JUL 05 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 101.4W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 101.4W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 100.8W

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.1N 103.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.5N 105.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 15.8N 108.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 16.1N 110.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 16.5N 112.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 17.1N 115.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 18.4N 120.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 19.7N 126.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 101.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI





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