Pacific Hurricane Feed

Hurricane Bonnie Forecast Advisory



294 
WTPZ24 KNHC 070234
TCMEP4

HURRICANE BONNIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042022
0300 UTC THU JUL 07 2022

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.3W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 111.3W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.7N 110.7W

FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.4N 113.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.1N 116.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.7N 119.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.3N 122.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.7N 126.4W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 20.0N 130.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 20.2N 136.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.9N 111.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH/BUCCI





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