245 FOPZ12 KNHC 170836 PWSEP2 HURRICANE BLAS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022022 0900 UTC FRI JUN 17 2022 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BLAS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 110W 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 4 13(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) ISLA SOCORRO 34 8 72(80) 3(83) X(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) ISLA SOCORRO 50 1 19(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 14(30) 8(38) 1(39) X(39) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 15N 115W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 7(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS