Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Agatha Wind Speed Probabilities


000
FOPZ11 KNHC 300234
PWSEP1

HURRICANE AGATHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022               
0300 UTC MON MAY 30 2022                                            

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE AGATHA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.                                        

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   

15N 100W       34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ACAPULCO       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

P MALDONADO    34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

P ANGEL        34 53  45(98)   2(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
P ANGEL        50  3  77(80)   5(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
P ANGEL        64  1  53(54)   8(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)   X(62)

HUATULCO       34 14  81(95)   4(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HUATULCO       50  1  62(63)  13(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)   X(76)
HUATULCO       64  X  31(31)  13(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)

15N 95W        34  2  52(54)   6(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
15N 95W        50  X   6( 6)   6(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
15N 95W        64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TAPACHULA      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE                                                    



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