000 WTPZ31 KNHC 291734 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Hurricane Agatha Intermediate Advisory Number 7A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012022 100 PM CDT Sun May 29 2022 ...AGATHA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN... ...WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN DETERIORATING IN SOUTHERN MEXICO TONIGHT... SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.2N 99.0W ABOUT 195 MI...315 KM WSW OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Salina Cruz to Lagunas de Chacahua A Hurricane Watch is in effect for... * Salina Cruz eastward to Barra De Tonala A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Salina Cruz eastward to Boca de Pijijiapan * Lagunas de Chacahua westward to Punta Maldonado A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Interests elsewhere in southern Mexico should closely monitor the progress of Agatha. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the center of Hurricane Agatha was located near latitude 14.2 North, longitude 99.0 West. Agatha is drifting toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn toward the northeast is expected later today, with a motion toward the northeast continuing through Monday night. On the forecast track, the center of Agatha will approach the southern coast of Mexico later today and tonight and make landfall there on Monday. Agatha has continued to strengthen. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is expected during the next 12 to 24 hours and Agatha is forecast to be near major hurricane strength when it reaches the coast of southern Mexico on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 978 mb (28.88 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area and possible in the watch area on Monday, with tropical storm conditions beginning tonight or early Monday. STORM SURGE: Storm surge is expected to produce dangerous coastal flooding in areas of onshore winds near and to the east of where the center of Agatha makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Agatha will produce heavy rains over portions of southern Mexico through Tuesday night. The following rainfall amounts are currently expected: Mexican state of Oaxaca: 10 to 16 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 20 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican state of Chiapas: 5 to 10 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 15 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Eastern portions of the Mexican state of Guerrero: 2 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches possible. Life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides may occur. Mexican states of VeraCruz and Tabasco: 2 to 4 inches, with isolated maximum amounts of 6 inches possible. SURF: Large swells generated by Agatha will affect the coast of southern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi