Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Agatha Forecast Advisory


000
WTPZ21 KNHC 302046
TCMEP1

HURRICANE AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022
2100 UTC MON MAY 30 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BARRA DE TONALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN
* LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF AGATHA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  96.6W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  974 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 150SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N  96.6W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  96.9W

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.4N  95.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.3N  94.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.0N  93.8W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N  96.6W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 31/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




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