Eastern Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Agatha Forecast Advisory


273 
WTPZ21 KNHC 292037
TCMEP1

HURRICANE AGATHA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012022
2100 UTC SUN MAY 29 2022

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ TO LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BARRA DE TONALA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ EASTWARD TO BOCA DE PIJIJIAPAN
* LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA WESTWARD TO PUNTA MALDONADO

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF AGATHA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  98.7W AT 29/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT   1 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  964 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 150SE  75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  98.7W AT 29/2100Z
AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.0N  98.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 14.5N  98.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 15.2N  97.1W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  80SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 16.0N  96.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 15NE  30SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  80SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 17.1N  95.2W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  98.7W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 30/0000Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





Source link