GMZ005-160845-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
432 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
.SYNOPSIS...Surface high pressure will begin sliding back
eastward as a strong, large surface low pressure system takes
shape across the Midwest. This low pressure system will move into
the northern Great Lakes region on Monday with a trailing front
draped across the western Gulf Basin. In the short term, this will
maintain breezes peaking overnight and lulling during the
afternoon. The aforementioned cold front will sweep through the
Keys late Monday. In its wake expect freshening northwest to
north by early Tuesday. Fresh to strong breezes are becoming
increasingly likely following the front during the middle of next
week.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of March 7...
55 NM South of Dry Tortugas Light...on Loggerhead Key.
15 NM South of Cosgrove Shoal Light...off the Marquesas Keys.
7 NM South of Sand Key Light...off Key West.
8 NM South of Looe Key...off Big Pine Key.
10 NM Southeast of Sombrero Key Light...off Marathon.
8 NM Southeast of Alligator Reef Light...off Islamorada.
5 NM Southeast of Molasses Reef Light...off Key Largo.
3 NM Southeast of Carysfort Reef Light...off Ocean Reef.
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the National Weather Service in
Key West based on products from NASA SPoRT and RTOFS.
$$
GMZ052>055-072>075-160845-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
432 PM EDT Sun Mar 15 2026
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR INCREASING WINDS
TONIGHT
Southeast winds near 15 knots, increasing to southeast
to south 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5
feet. Wave Detail: East 4 feet at 6 seconds. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
MONDAY
South winds near 15 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: East to southeast 3 feet at
5 seconds. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
MONDAY NIGHT
Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming west to
northwest 15 to 20 knots late. Seas 1 to 3 feet, building to 2 to
4 feet. Wave Detail: South to southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds and
northeast to east 1 foot at 5 seconds. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms.
TUESDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming north to northeast
20 to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, building
to 4 to 7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
TUESDAY NIGHT
North to northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas
6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms.
WEDNESDAY
Northeast winds near 20 knots. Seas 5 to 8 feet,
occasionally to 10 feet. Showers likely with a chance of
thunderstorms.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
North to northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas
6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. Showers likely with a
slight chance of thunderstorms.
THURSDAY
North to northeast winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing
to near 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A
chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
THURSDAY NIGHT
North to northeast winds near 20 knots. Seas
5 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet. A chance of showers.
FRIDAY
North to northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to
7 feet, occasionally to 9 feet. A slight chance of showers.
FRIDAY NIGHT
North to northeast winds near 15 knots. Seas 4 to
6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. A slight chance of showers.
$$
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