GMZ005-100245-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
1031 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
Hurricane Isaias intensified to a Category 3 hurricane. The
hurricane is forecast to make landfall in northern Florida
tonight. Fresh breezes were able to develop over the northwestern
waters on the periphery of the hurricane. Elevated swells will
persist through the Florida Straits and the outer Gulf waters
through the first half of the weekend. Breezes are on track to
decrease while Hurricane Isaias moves north. Meanwhile, a plume
of moisture will move north from eastern Cuba tonight through this
weekend. Expect an increase in shower and thunderstorm chances.
Breezes will be able to slacken during the first half of the
weekend.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October 9,
2026...
53 NM south-southeast of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key
33 NM south-southeast of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys
24 NM south-southeast of Sand Key Light, off Key West
19 NM south-southeast of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key
13 NM south-southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon
5 NM south-southeast of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada
2 NM east of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo
2 NM east of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic
Office.
$$
GMZ042-043-100245-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
1031 AM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026
THIS AFTERNOON
Southeast to south winds near 15 knots, becoming
southeast and decreasing to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Nearshore waters a moderate chop, becoming a light to moderate
chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
TONIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast to
south and increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet,
occasionally to 5 feet, except 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet
west of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore waters a light to
moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. Showers likely with a
chance of thunderstorms.
SATURDAY
Southeast to south winds near 15 knots, decreasing to 10
to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, except
around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet west of Cosgrove Shoal
Light. Nearshore waters a moderate chop, becoming a light to
moderate chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of
thunderstorms.
SATURDAY NIGHT
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, increasing to
near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, except 3 to 4 feet, occasionally
to 5 feet west of Cosgrove Shoal Light. Nearshore waters a light
to moderate chop, becoming a moderate chop. A chance of showers
with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
SUNDAY
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming east to
southeast and decreasing to near 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet,
subsiding to around 2 feet. Nearshore waters a light to moderate
chop, becoming a light chop. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
SUNDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light to moderate chop. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
MONDAY
Northeast to east winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Nearshore waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
MONDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. A slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
TUESDAY
North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming
northeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light to moderate chop, becoming smooth to a
light chop. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
TUESDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
$$
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