GMZ005-130230-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
1020 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
.SYNOPSIS...
A couple of nearby features will define the weather across the
Florida Keys for the first half of the week. The Atlantic Ridge is
gradually weakening and retreating east towards the central
Atlantic. Another region of high pressure is located over the
Southeast and northern Gulf. Between the two high pressure
centers lies a weak frontal boundary that is extending across
south Florida. The front is forecast to slowly pass across the
Keys waters by tomorrow. This will promote gentle to moderate
northeast to east breezes. There will be slight chances for
showers and a few thunderstorms over the next few days as the
diffuse and weakening front stalls near the Straits of Florida.
Late in the week, a strong cold front could develop and move
towards the Florida Keys. Currently, there are low chances that
the front will make it to the Florida Keys waters. We will
continue monitoring this system.
The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of October
9, 2026...
53 NM south-southeast of Dry Tortugas Light, on Loggerhead Key
33 NM south-southeast of Cosgrove Shoal Light, off the Marquesas Keys
24 NM south-southeast of Sand Key Light, off Key West
19 NM south-southeast of Looe Key, off Big Pine Key
13 NM south-southeast of Sombrero Key Light, off Marathon
5 NM south-southeast of Alligator Reef Light, off Islamorada
2 NM east of Molasses Reef Light, off Key Largo
2 NM east of Carysfort Reef Light, off Ocean Reef
Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic
Office.
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GMZ033-034-130230-
Gulf of America from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM
out and beyond 5 fathoms-
Gulf of America including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
1020 AM EDT Mon Oct 12 2026
THIS AFTERNOON
North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2
to 3 feet. Wave Detail: Northeast to east 2 feet at 3 seconds and
northwest 2 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
TONIGHT
North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming
northeast and increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave
Detail: Northwest to north 3 feet at 5 seconds. A slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
TUESDAY
Northeast winds near 15 knots, decreasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave Detail: North to northeast 3 feet
at 5 seconds. A slight chance of showers.
TUESDAY NIGHT
North to northeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming
northeast to east and increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3
feet. A slight chance of showers.
WEDNESDAY
Northeast to east winds near 15 knots, decreasing to 10
to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A slight chance of showers.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
Northeast to east winds 10 to 15 knots,
becoming east and increasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
THURSDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A chance
of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms.
THURSDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
A chance of thunderstorms with a slight chance of showers.
FRIDAY
East winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots.
Seas 1 to 2 feet. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
FRIDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around
1 foot. Showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms.
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