Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2436

   Mesoscale Discussion 2436
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0553 PM CST Mon Nov 02 2026

   Areas affected...Western North Texas into south-central Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 701...

   Valid 022353Z - 030130Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 701 continues.

   SUMMARY...A corridor of greater tornado potential (possibly strong)
   will exist along the Red River into south-central Oklahoma and
   western North Texas.

   DISCUSSION...A linear segment near the Wichita Falls area has
   occasionally shown signs of evolving into more discrete elements.
   Though it is not clear how this activity will ultimately
   evolve--storm interactions have complicated the evolution--this
   region has locally greater potential for a dominant supercell or
   two. Low-level rotation has been stronger along the Red River, but
   activity farther south will have more unimpeded inflow. As the
   low-level jet is beginning to intensify, these storms will encounter
   greater low-level shear with time. A strong tornado will be
   possible, which is more probable should storms become/remain
   discrete.

   ..Wendt.. 11/02/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33889745 33729835 33769898 34029897 34389869 34449800
               34389751 34159744 33889745 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN