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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2432

Published Date and Time: 2026-11-02 17:00:00



Mesoscale Discussion 2432
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2432
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0342 PM CST Mon Nov 02 2026

   Areas affected...central into northern OK...far southern KS

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 701...

   Valid 022142Z - 022345Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 701 continues.

   SUMMARY...All severe hazards are possible with the stronger storms
   as they continue to intensify during the 5-7pm period.

   DISCUSSION...A band of intensifying thunderstorms over western OK
   will continue moving to the northeast into central and northern OK
   and adjacent parts of southern KS during the next several hours.  A
   residual stratus field is gradually eroding ahead of the
   thunderstorm activity where temperatures are warming into the lower
   to mid 70s deg F.  Surface dewpoints range 65-68 deg F.  Ample
   veering and strengthening of flow with height (i.e., KTLX VAD) will
   support organized linear bands.  The potential for a few supercells
   ---contingent on stronger updrafts developing--- not experiencing
   destructive interference or hybrid mesocyclonic/mesovortex
   structures will seemingly increase through the early evening.  The
   sizable low-level hodographs will support both a risk for a few
   tornadoes and severe gusts.

   ..Smith.. 11/02/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   37079769 37299729 37289672 37079652 36719655 34919806
               34799850 34859879 35049890 35349892 37079769 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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