Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2374

   Mesoscale Discussion 2374
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0247 PM CDT Wed Oct 14 2026

   Areas affected...portions of southern Ohio...northern Kentucky...and
   western West Virginia

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 141947Z - 142215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to increase in coverage and
   intensity through the afternoon into the early evening hours across
   portions of southern Ohio and adjacent areas of Kentucky and West
   Virginia.  The strongest storms may pose a damaging wind threat,
   however, the overall severe weather threat is expected to remain too
   isolated to warrant a watch.

   DISCUSSION...Convection associated with a remnant MCV moving
   eastward across the Ohio Valley is intensifying as it moves into a
   modestly unstable airmass.  Additionally, storms are developing
   along an east-west oriented cold front in southern Ohio.  Although
   lapse rates are modest and limiting the updraft potential,
   deep-layer shear is sufficient to assist with storm organization and
   longevity.  The storms will move east-southeastward through the
   afternoon and evening posing an isolated risk of damaging winds,
   especially for storms that cluster and grow upscale.  The severe
   wind threat is expected to remain too marginal/isolated to warrant a
   watch, but convective trends will be monitored.

   ..Jirak/Guyer.. 10/14/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

   LAT...LON   38068505 38638425 39278407 40038411 40098242 40068125
               39958068 39708013 39367974 38798001 38358064 37958121
               37758211 37758342 38068505 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH