Hurricane Simon Forecast Advisory Number 23

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 130253
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
0300 UTC TUE OCT 13 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.0W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  25SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.4N 107.0W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 106.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.7N 107.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 21.3N 108.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   5SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW   5NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 22.5N 107.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 23.2N 107.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 24.0N 107.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 24.8N 107.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.4N 107.0W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 13/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER EVANS/CANGIALOSI