Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2362

   Mesoscale Discussion 2362
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1225 PM CDT Sun Oct 11 2026

   Areas affected...portions of central into northern North Carolina

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 680...

   Valid 111725Z - 111900Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 680 continues.

   SUMMARY...A few more tornadoes are possible across portions of
   central into northern NC. The supercells over northern NC have the
   best chance at producing a strong tornado.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells continue along a confluence band over
   central into northern NC, with radar-indicated tornadoes ongoing
   with the northern NC storms. Regional VADs continue to show curved
   hodographs and over 200 m2/s2 of 0-500 m SRH, supporting tornado
   potential. Relatively well-organized supercells are ongoing just
   north of Raleigh NC, ahead of the surface low, where surface flow is
   most backed. Given the well-organized supercell structures and
   strong SRH, an EF2 equivalent intensity tornado is possible with the
   northern NC storms.

   ..Squitieri.. 10/11/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...

   LAT...LON   35837873 36367853 36567824 36557786 36347756 35347764
               34387772 34117780 34057796 34587844 35347853 35837873 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH