Hurricane Simon Forecast Advisory Number 7

000
WTPZ25 KNHC 090238
TCMEP5
 
HURRICANE SIMON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP202026
0300 UTC FRI OCT 09 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.6W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
4 M SEAS.... 90NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 104.6W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 16.1N 105.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.9N 105.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 17.8N 105.3W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 19.0N 105.3W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 20.4N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 10NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 21.6N 105.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE   0SE  60SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 23.3N 105.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 104.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 09/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS