Hurricane Rachel Forecast Advisory Number 15

189 
WTPZ23 KNHC 302041
TCMEP3
 
HURRICANE RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
2100 UTC WED SEP 30 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.0W AT 30/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  978 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 330SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.0W AT 30/2100Z
AT 30/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 19.1N 108.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.6N 109.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 110SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.9N 109.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.0N 110.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.1N 111.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.3N 113.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 20.5N 115.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 20.6N 117.8W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 108.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN