Tropical Storm Rachel Forecast Advisory Number 12

000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300234
TCMEP3
 
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182026
0300 UTC WED SEP 30 2026
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.6W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......170NE 140SE 100SW 160NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 270SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 106.6W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 106.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 18.0N 107.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 18.9N 108.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 19.5N 109.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.8N 110.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 20.0N 111.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.2N 112.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 20.4N 114.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 20.5N 116.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.0N 106.6W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPEP3...AT 30/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART