Central Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Nolo Public Advisory Number 31a



Issued at 200 AM HST Mon Sep 28 2026

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WTPA32 PHFO 281143
TCPCP2
 
BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Intermediate Advisory Number 31A
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM HST Mon Sep 28 2026
 
...MAJOR HURRICANE NOLO PASSING SOUTHWEST OF THE MAIN HAWAIIAN 
ISLANDS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM HST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.8N 161.9W
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM SSE OF FRENCH FRIGATE SHOALS
ABOUT 405 MI...655 KM SW OF HONOLULU HAWAII
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...929 MB...27.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Nihoa to
French Frigate Shoals.
 
A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible
within the watch area.  A watch is typically issued 48 hours
before the anticipated first occurrence of tropical-storm-force
winds, conditions that make outside preparations difficult or
dangerous.
 
A Hurricane Warning may be required for portions of the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument later today.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM HST (1200 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located 
near latitude 16.8 North, longitude 161.9 West. Nolo is moving 
toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the 
northwest is forecast later today, with a turn toward the north 
expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Nolo will 
remain well south and southwest of the main Hawaiian Islands but 
will approach the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument on 
Tuesday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Nolo is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is expected, and 
Nolo could become a category 5 hurricane later today. A gradual 
weakening trend is likely to begin tonight.
 
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150
miles (240 km).
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 929 mb (27.44 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the Hurricane Watch area
in the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument by Wednesday, with
tropical storm conditions possible by Tuesday.
 
SURF: Swells generated by Nolo will affect south-facing shores of 
the main Hawaiian Islands for the next few days. These swells are 
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. 
Large surf associated with Nolo will affect the Papahanaumokuakea 
Marine National Monument beginning later today. These large waves 
will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls, especially from 
French Frigate Shoals to Nihoa. Please consult products from your 
local weather office.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM HST.
 
$$
Forecaster Adams



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