Issued at 0900 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026
000
FOPZ12 KNHC 270856
PWSEP2
HURRICANE POLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026
0900 UTC SUN SEP 27 2026
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE POLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105
KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) 16(16) 13(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 X X( X) 22(22) 48(70) 2(72) X(72) X(72)
LORETO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 22(24) 2(26) X(26) X(26)
LORETO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 5(13) X(13) X(13)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 28(29) 22(51) X(51) X(51)
GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) X(16) X(16)
GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) X(12) X(12)
20N 115W 34 26 X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
25N 115W 34 X 12(12) 17(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
$$
FORECASTER HAGEN
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