Hurricane Polo Forecast Advisory Number 22

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 260255
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
0300 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 110.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 298 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  911 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 150 KT WITH GUSTS TO 185 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 150SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.4N 110.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 109.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.8N 111.4W
MAX WIND 145 KT...GUSTS 175 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.0N 112.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.6N 113.6W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.6N 113.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 24.6N 113.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.3N 112.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 29.8N 109.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 31.6N 105.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.4N 110.1W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 26/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY