Hurricane Polo Forecast Advisory Number 20

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 251448
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.5W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  900 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 155 KT WITH GUSTS TO 190 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....210NE 180SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.5W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 17.2N 109.8W
MAX WIND 155 KT...GUSTS 190 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 17.8N 111.5W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 18.9N 112.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.4N 113.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 22.0N 113.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 23.8N 113.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 26.9N 110.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 30.4N 106.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 108.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER REINHART