Hurricane Polo Forecast Advisory Number 17

000
WTPZ22 KNHC 242049
TCMEP2
 
HURRICANE POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172026
2100 UTC THU SEP 24 2026
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.5W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  935 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  35SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  45NW.
34 KT.......110NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 210SE 180SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 105.5W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 104.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 17.2N 106.8W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 17.4N 108.8W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.8N 110.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 18.7N 112.0W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 20.3N 113.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 55NE  55SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 22.0N 113.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  35SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  90SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1800Z 25.2N 112.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1800Z 27.9N 109.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  70NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 105.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN