Issued at 900 AM CST Tue Sep 22 2026
205 WTPZ32 KNHC 221454 TCPEP2 BULLETIN Hurricane Polo Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP172026 900 AM CST Tue Sep 22 2026 ...POLO IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY OFF THE COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 900 AM CST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...14.7N 101.6W ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM SSE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...165 MPH...270 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...920 MB...27.17 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The government of Mexico has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico from Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo, and extended the Tropical Storm Watch westward to Playa Perula. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for * Tecpan de Galeana to Punta San Telmo A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * West of Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere along the southwestern Mexico coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system as additional watches and warnings could be necessary today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM CST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Polo was located near latitude 14.7 North, longitude 101.6 West. Polo is drifting toward the north near 2 mph (4 km/h). A turn toward the northwest and west-northwest is expected tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the core of Polo is expected to be near the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days, although forecast to remain offshore. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 165 mph (270 km/h) with higher gusts. Polo is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is likely through tonight, with fluctuations in strength possible Wednesday and Wednesday night. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to investigate Polo. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 920 mb (27.17 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Polo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP2 and WMO header WTPZ42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area along the coast of Mexico by early Wednesday. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area along the coast of Mexico by Thursday. RAINFALL: Polo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches, with isolated maximum totals up to 8 inches across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Guerrero and Michoacán through Thursday. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flooding and mudslides, especially in areas of steep terrain. Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches is possible in coastal portions of Oaxaca, Colima, and Jalisco through Thursday. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Polo, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Polo are expected to affect portions of the coast of southwestern Mexico during the next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 1200 PM CST. Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
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