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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2129

Published Date and Time: 2026-08-25 17:59:00



Mesoscale Discussion 2129
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   Mesoscale Discussion 2129
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0433 PM CDT Tue Aug 25 2026

   Areas affected...Parts of northeastern Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 626...

   Valid 252133Z - 252230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 626
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A highly localized favorable corridor for supercell
   intensification and a brief tornado and damaging wind gusts may
   persist for another hour or so.

   DISCUSSION...A weak, semi-discrete supercell structure is tracking
   eastward across parts of northeastern MN, with access to
   warm/unstable inflow to its southeast. Trailing cells and associated
   outflow are approaching this storm from the west. This could support
   a constructive cell interaction and brief intensification of the
   supercell as it continues eastward for the next 30 min to an hour --
   before being undercut by the outflow. This could support a locally
   favorable risk for a brief tornado and damaging wind gusts.

   ..Weinman.. 08/25/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...

   LAT...LON   46909212 46939270 47019289 47229279 47279241 47299184
               47169157 46969164 46909212 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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