Mesoscale Discussion 2093 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0600 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026 Areas affected...Portions of western/central PA...far northern WV...and western MD Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614... Valid 222300Z - 230030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614 continues. SUMMARY...The risk of locally damaging wind gusts continues in the near term, though the severe risk should gradually decrease into central Pennsylvania. Therefore, a downstream watch should not be needed. DISCUSSION...A strongly forced, north/south-oriented band of storms is tracking eastward across western PA, with additional pre-frontal cells evolving in the cooler air downstream. Given a well-established cold pool and around 30 kt of 0-6 km shear (per CCX VWP) oriented perpendicular to the gust front, the risk of locally damaging wind gusts will continue in the near term. However, the immediate downstream air mass is characterized by cooler surface temperatures/weaker buoyancy, which should tend to limit the severe risk with eastward extent into central PA this evening. Therefore, while a localized risk of strong/locally damaging wind gusts could persist slightly east of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614, a downstream watch is not currently expected. ..Weinman.. 08/22/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ... LAT...LON 39627968 40477943 41627892 41857858 41817800 41637758 41397743 40757751 40157776 39507815 39177882 39337961 39627968 MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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