Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2087

   Mesoscale Discussion 2087
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0250 PM CDT Sat Aug 22 2026

   Areas affected...central and eastern Ohio into northern West
   Virginia and western parts of New York and Pennsylvania

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614...

   Valid 221950Z - 222145Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 614
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for mainly damaging wind gusts is expected to
   continue across the watch area late this afternoon into evening.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple bands of strong to severe thunderstorms are
   ongoing within low-level confluence zones preceding the synoptic
   cold front. As of 1945Z, the most intense convection was located
   over far eastern OH, where several instances of wind damage have
   been reported. Latest mesoanalysis indicates a plume of steep
   low-level lapse rates in excess of 8 C/km has developed ahead of
   that convective band, which should allow the damaging wind threat to
   spread into western PA over the next hour. 

   Regional VWPs indicate generally weak low-level winds with pockets
   of around 30 kt of deep-layer shear, which may be supportive of more
   organized bowing/line segments capable of a comparatively greater
   damaging wind threat. Otherwise, expect storms to remain somewhat
   disorganized and shorter lived, but still capable of locally
   damaging wind gusts.

   ..Mead.. 08/22/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...

   LAT...LON   39718266 40618267 41028300 41368307 41738204 42088121
               42347989 42767905 43157852 43047819 41977864 40357942
               39447982 39078044 38908120 38848189 38858239 39718266 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN