Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2037

   Mesoscale Discussion 2037
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0323 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026

   Areas affected...Northeast Kansas...west-central and central
   Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...

   Valid 190823Z - 190930Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A localized severe weather threat may continue beyond the
   scheduled 09z/4 am CDT expiration of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598,
   however a new watch is not anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue within a generally east-west
   oriented zone across northeast KS/west-central and central MO at
   0815z, in association with an expanding zone of low-level warm
   advection.  Despite episodic stronger updrafts, a trend towards
   diminished intensities has been noted since 07z as convective
   overturning takes place.  Latest mesoanalysis depicts weak-pockets
   of moderate MUCAPE in the vicinity of the storms, suggesting some
   potential for an occasional stronger updraft and a localized risk
   for strong winds or hail.  Overall, however, the severe threat
   should continue to diminish and a new watch is not expected after
   the expiration of WW 598 at 09z.

   Across central MO, thunderstorm intensity has also decreased as
   storms move towards progressively weaker instability, and this trend
   is expected to continue.

   ..Bunting/Mosier.. 08/19/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   39289563 39209362 38819250 38269145 37889131 37609157
               37739244 38369367 38649499 39139553 39289563 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN