Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2034

   Mesoscale Discussion 2034
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1140 PM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Kansas and western Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...

   Valid 190440Z - 190615Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A severe threat persists along the KS/MO border. However,
   the threat should gradually decrease through the evening with
   strengthening convective inhibition.

   DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues across northeast KS
   into western MO. While a few reports of marginally severe hail have
   been received with cells on the western flank of this MCS, the gusts
   over the past hour or so have remained below severe limits. As
   temperatures continue to further cool into the 70s F, boundary-layer
   decoupling and MLCINH should only increase with time, further
   diminishing the severe wind threat. A couple of the stronger cells
   may still pose a hail threat, but severe hail should remain more
   isolated into the evening hours. Given current severe trends, a
   downstream WW issuance appears unlikely at this time.

   ..Squitieri.. 08/19/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   39519656 39249422 38969260 38509232 38009279 37949385
               38239525 38569593 38879656 39519656 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN