Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 2033

   Mesoscale Discussion 2033
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1037 PM CDT Tue Aug 18 2026

   Areas affected...portions of northeastern Kansas into western
   Missouri

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598...

   Valid 190337Z - 190400Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 598
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A swath of damaging to occasionally severe gusts is
   becoming increasingly likely along the KS/MO border, including the
   Kansas City Metropolitan area. A few nearby supercell structures may
   also pose an occasional risk for severe hail.

   DISCUSSION...An MCS is organizing over northeastern KS, with KEAX
   reflectivity and velocity data depicting the potential for
   hydrometeor loading given large merging cores. As a result, several
   severe gusts have been observed over the last 30 minutes. The
   current thinking is that appreciable outflow with these storms will
   yield a damaging to occasionally severe wind swath along the KS/MO
   border despite the decoupled boundary layer in place. These storms
   will pass over the Kansas City Metropolitan area over the next hour
   or so, accompanied by gusts occasionally exceeding 60 mph. Transient
   supercells are also flanking this MCS to the southwest with deeper
   cores, which may favor a few instances of severe hail as well.

   ..Squitieri.. 08/19/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   39519646 39309408 39019360 38529354 38289392 38299489
               38449560 38829650 39519646 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN