Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1983

   Mesoscale Discussion 1983
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0655 PM CDT Fri Aug 14 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Virginia into northern North
   Carolina

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 583...

   Valid 142355Z - 150130Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 583
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe potential continues within WW583.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms continue south and eastward within WW583.
   These have shown a gradual weakening trend but will continue to pose
   some risk for strong to severe wind in the near term given the hot
   and unstable environment downstream. Further weakening is expected
   with loss of daytime heating and movement into a region with less
   shear for organization occurs in the next hour. As such, downstream
   watch issuance is not expected.

   ..Thornton.. 08/14/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...RAH...

   LAT...LON   37827690 37587781 37257821 36637840 36487796 36267747
               36097642 36497597 37227584 37627587 37677593 37747646
               37827690 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN