Issued at 1100 AM HST Fri Aug 14 2026
292 WTPZ43 KNHC 142035 TCDEP3 Tropical Depression Hernan Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP082026 1100 AM HST Fri Aug 14 2026 After continuing on a southward track overnight into early this morning, Hernan has become nearly stationary. Convection that developed this morning has since waned, and dry air is wrapping around the southern and western side of the center. However, new showers and thunderstorms are developing just to the north and east of the center. A microwave pass from earlier this morning depicted an elongated center with poor definition on its western side. Objective and subjective intensity estimates have decreased since this morning and range from 25-34 kt. Based on these data, the initial intensity has been set at 30 kt, which may be somewhat generous. Despite its nearly stationary motion this morning, Hernan is expected to begin moving westward later today and accelerate slightly into Saturday as a mid-level ridge builds to the northwest of the system. Continued dry air entrainment is expected to further erode Hernan's structure, despite decreasing wind shear and warm sea surface temperatures. By late tonight or early Saturday, any remaining convection is expected to dissipate, although a closed circulation could persist this weekend. The latest NHC forecast weakens Hernan to a remnant low within 24 h and shows the system degenerating into a trough by 72 h. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/2100Z 15.6N 132.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 15/0600Z 15.5N 133.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 24H 15/1800Z 15.4N 135.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 16/0600Z 15.4N 137.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 16/1800Z 15.4N 139.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 17/0600Z 15.5N 141.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
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