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Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1890

Published Date and Time: 2026-08-09 23:54:00



Mesoscale Discussion 1890
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1890
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1053 PM CDT Sun Aug 09 2026

   Areas affected...northern Illinois

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 550...

   Valid 100353Z - 100600Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 550
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe potential continues within WW550.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells and supercell hybrid clusters continue
   across portions of northern Illinois. As the low-level jet has
   strengthened, a few low topped supercells have shown weak rotation.
   One supercell in Lee County near the warm front/outflow boundary
   across northern Illinois approached 60 kft with more pronounced and
   long lived rotation and reports of a tornado. VAD profiles from KLOT
   are sampling 0-3 km SRH around 350-400 m2/s2, with weakening flow
   above 3 km. Given the favorable low-level shear, transient weak
   rotation will likely continue with low topped cells south of the
   boundary. Any storm that can anchor to the boundary may have
   potential for a tornado in the short term. Mode is becoming more
   clustered through time, with increasing damaging wind potential
   later into the overnight.

   ..Thornton.. 08/10/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...DVN...

   LAT...LON   41999078 42238963 42288892 42228818 42088774 41878733
               41458738 40908815 40758899 40748977 40889035 41209084
               41579095 41999078 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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