Issued at 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026
216 WTPZ42 KNHC 290003 TCDEP2 Hurricane Genevieve Special Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP072026 500 PM PDT Tue Jul 28 2026 This is a special advisory to modify the current intensity of the hurricane and update the intensity forecast. Recent satellite imagery shows that deep convection has continue to wrap around the center of Genevieve this afternoon. Latest intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS have increased from 105 to 122 kt the last several hours. Given the improved satellite presentation the intensity is raised to 115 kt, and Genevieve has strengthened into a category 4 hurricane again. The intensity forecast has been updated due to the revised current intensity. Some fluctuations in intensity are possible the next day or so, before a weakening trend is anticipated as the system moves over progressively cooler sea-surface temperatures and into a drier mid-level environment. The NHC intensity forecast lies above the latest model guidance in the short-term and then trends towards the consensus aids beyond day 2 through the end of the forecast period.The track forecast is unchanged from the previous advisory. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 29/0000Z 18.2N 117.2W 115 KT 130 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 18.4N 118.1W 115 KT 130 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 19.0N 119.8W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 19.7N 121.9W 90 KT 105 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 20.4N 124.2W 75 KT 85 MPH 60H 31/0600Z 21.1N 126.6W 60 KT 70 MPH 72H 31/1800Z 21.8N 129.1W 50 KT 60 MPH 96H 01/1800Z 23.3N 134.6W 45 KT 50 MPH 120H 02/1800Z 25.3N 140.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL $$ Forecaster Kelly
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